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Analysis of exchange rate trendThe General Office of the Shanghai Municipal People's Government issued the Action Plan for Shanghai to Support the Merger and Reorganization of Listed Companies (2025-2027). Among them, it is proposed to strive to land a number of representative M&A cases in key industries by 2027, and cultivate about 10 internationally competitive listed companies in key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine and new materials, forming a scale of M&A transactions of 300 billion yuan and activating total assets of over 2 trillion yuan.The securities sector is still the key to tomorrow. Today, it is also high and low. At present, it has not fallen below the offensive line, and the short-term trend remains intact. If it falls again tomorrow, it will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will initially weaken. We should pay attention to short-term risks and control our positions.

At present, all policies are winning numbers's, and they are constantly exerting their strength, and the medium and long-term trends are also intact, so we are still optimistic in the medium and long term. For short-term fluctuations, we should keep calm, see the trend clearly and grasp the key points, so that we can calmly handle complex trends.After the exchange rate rushed to 7.314, it began to fluctuate and weaken. As we have told you many times before, the vicinity of 7.3 is heavily guarded, and the depreciation in this area is almost in place, and there is no room for further sharp depreciation. Some time ago, around 7.3, the market began to get nervous. Instead, we clearly told everyone that this was a good thing, because the direct depreciation was in place, and the subsequent appreciation expectation was formed. From the current situation, it is really difficult for the exchange rate to weaken further. At present, the daily level has entered a short-term adjustment trend, but we should focus on observing whether it can fall below 7.258 this week. Only when it falls below, the medium-term depreciation momentum can be ended, otherwise it will be repeated.Analysis of exchange rate trend

The securities sector is still the key to tomorrow. Today, it is also high and low. At present, it has not fallen below the offensive line, and the short-term trend remains intact. If it falls again tomorrow, it will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will initially weaken. We should pay attention to short-term risks and control our positions.Although the trend of the market today is very ugly, there are some positive signs. First, it has not yet fallen below the daily offensive line, and the offensive line is still upward, so the market will continue to rebound. Secondly, it has broken through the daily pressure level today, which is also the first time in the near future, and it can be regarded as a breakthrough. Then today, the quantity and energy are also very obvious, and there is nothing to worry about if there is quantity and energy. Tomorrow, the offensive line will continue to move up and will be close to today's closing point, so tomorrow's trend is very important for the short-term trend. It can be said that it can only go up but not down. If it falls, the short-term trend will weaken. If we can hold the offensive line tomorrow, there is still a possibility that the market will rebound. After all, the current market is still in a state of high control. The main players are deeply involved and have the ability to control the disk, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic about tomorrow's trend for the time being. Pay attention to the competition around 3410 points. If you hold on, the short-term problem is not very big.